Within this context, well-known market commentator Mario Nawfal has shared his outlook on where XRP and other large-cap cryptocurrencies could realistically trade if current conditions persist. Unlike speculative forecasts that rely on extreme assumptions, Nawfal framed his projections as achievable outcomes rather than aspirational scenarios.
Nawfal’s Price Expectations for XRP and Major Cryptocurrencies
Realistic numbers I’d like to see:
Bitcoin → $145k
Ethereum → $7k
Solana → $500
XRP → $4Am I crazy, or does this look achievable?
— 0xMarioNawfal (@RoundtableSpace) January 5, 2026
He emphasized that these figures represent what he considers attainable levels within the current market cycle, assuming continued participation from institutional and retail investors.
That rally ultimately stalled as broader market conditions weakened, leading to a notable correction. However, XRP’s renewed strength in early 2026 has prompted analysts like Nawfal to revisit the possibility of a return to that zone.
Historical Performance and Market Constraints
Supporters of Nawfal’s outlook point to XRP’s history of sharp price expansions as evidence that a move of this scale is not unprecedented. In late 2024, the token recorded a rally exceeding 400% within a relatively short period. Against that backdrop, a move under 70% appears comparatively moderate.
That said, analysts also acknowledge that XRP faces meaningful technical barriers. Price zones around $3 have repeatedly acted as resistance, and sustained buying pressure would be required to overcome these levels. As a result, while the $4 target is viewed by some as achievable, it may not be reached without periods of consolidation or temporary pullbacks.
Mixed Reactions From the Analyst Community
Others remain more cautious, arguing that XRP’s volatility and past reversals warrant tempered expectations, even as they agree with Nawfal’s outlook for assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
XRP’s Current Market Position
In the short term, XRP has distinguished itself as one of the strongest performers among large-cap cryptocurrencies. Recent data shows it leading the top ten assets in daily gains, with double-digit advances that exceed those of most peers.
Weekly performance has also remained robust, reinforcing the perception that XRP is benefiting from renewed accumulation and broader market recovery.
Overall, Nawfal’s $4 projection reflects a cautious optimism grounded in market history, current momentum, and realistic growth assumptions rather than speculative extremes.